A majority of Albertans support leaving Canada.
Claimed by: Asserted by some Alberta independence advocates
Updated: Updated June 17, 2026: added Ipsos polling from late May showing separation support at 18–19 percent, down from earlier 2026 surveys.
False: False as written according to the settled evidence. How we rate.
Summary
Polling consistently shows the opposite, and support has fallen further in mid-2026. An Ipsos survey for Global News conducted May 28 to June 1, 2026 found only 19 percent of Albertans would vote yes on Question 10 to begin the legal process toward a binding separation referendum, with 72 percent choosing to remain in Canada. On a hypothetical binding leave-or-stay vote, support for leaving was 18 percent, down 10 points from January. A May 2026 Angus Reid survey had found 35 percent in favour of starting the separation process. Earlier 2025 and 2026 polls put support around three in ten. Support is real and concentrated in some regions and among some party voters, but a province-wide majority for leaving is not borne out by the evidence.
Evidence
An Ipsos poll conducted May 28 to June 1, 2026 found 19 percent would vote to commence the legal process toward a binding separation referendum and 72 percent would vote to remain in Canada on Question 10; on a hypothetical binding leave vote, 18 percent would leave and 72 percent would stay.
A May 2026 Angus Reid poll found 60 percent would vote no to beginning the separation process and 35 percent yes, with stay support rising to 67 percent on a simpler question.
The same polling found three in five Albertans would vote to stay, with separation support sitting around three in ten in earlier 2025 and 2026 surveys.